Publish dateSunday 19 January 2025 - 16:10
Story Code : 305099
Israel does not have a bright future with its internal and external challenges/Hamas movement will remain stable despite all the blows
With the ceasefire agreement in Gaza, West Asian affairs analysts say that the Israeli regime was the main cause of the war in the region, and with the resistance of the Islamic movement Hamas, the change of power in the United States, internal and external challenges, the expenditure of all its strength and energy during a year and a half of war, and the hatred of the world's nations for this regime, it is no longer able to continue the war and does not have a bright future in the region, but Hamas will remain stable despite all the blows it has suffered.
Afghan Voice Agency (AVA) - Kabul: After the ceasefire agreement between the Israeli regime and the Islamic Hamas movement came into effect on Sunday, January 19, Dr. Sayed Abdullah Hosseini, an expert on West Asian affairs, said in an interview with AVA that "the ceasefire in Gaza will be a source of stability to some extent for a while, because the cause of the war in Gaza was Israel, which is now severely weakened internally and externally, and its military and political power, and is not willing to continue the war.
According to Hosseini, "Israel has been weakened from an external perspective, because it was a supporter of the Zionist regime, America and the Biden administration, whose time has run out, and Trump will not continue this war. On the other hand, Europe, despite the current situation, especially Germany and England, is not willing to tolerate this war anymore, so Israel is practically in a situation where it is unable to continue this war."
Hosseini added: "This ceasefire will lead to stability in West Asia to some extent, because on the one hand, Lebanon has a new government and Syria is also at war. The past is over, and of course, it is not unlikely that a new civil war will break out in Syria in the future. Therefore, in general, it must be said that the source of the war, which was Israel, has now been weakened, and given the ceasefire with Gaza and Lebanon, there will be no war in West Asia for a while, unless a new war breaks out in Syria.
The university professor also added: "There is no doubt that the Hamas resistance played an important role in this ceasefire, because in the beginning, many thought that this war and resistance would not last more than a year and that Hamas would be destroyed, but your position has already passed a year."
According to this expert: "Although Hamas suffered a lot during the past year and a half, it remained stable and the Palestinian people have continuously supported this movement. Therefore, the Hamas resistance plays a major role in forcing Israel to accept the ceasefire."
In his view, "In the end, both Netanyahu, his opponents, and the Americans and Europeans practically lost hope of realizing their dreams in Gaza of destroying Hamas, displacing the Palestinian people, and surrendering and disarming Hamas."
According to Dr. Hosseini, "The second factor that plays a role in the Gaza ceasefire is the change of government in America. The Biden administration played a major role in bringing about the ceasefire before leaving power, and Trump also practically withdrew support for Israel with his policies, but rather pressured the Zionist regime to accept the ceasefire. The third factor in the ceasefire in Gaza is the international situation. The pressure that was on Israel and its supporters also plays an important role in the Gaza ceasefire."
Hosseini continued: "Israel's position after a ceasefire or even permanent peace at the international level, especially since the initiative is in the hands of America and its allies, will not change much, because Israel is hated by nations and will become more hated, and the hope that Jews had for Israel and the Zionist regime will definitely be weakened, and at the same time, immigration will increase, which will certainly have a negative impact on the population decline in Israel, and in addition to other reasons, it cannot be said that Israel's future will be a bright one in the region."

What will be the outlook for West Asia after the ceasefire in Gaza?
Dr. Hosseini also stated that although developments after the ceasefire cannot be accurately predicted, because West Asia is in very turbulent conditions, what is certain is that; there are several crises currently in West Asia, the first crisis is the Palestine-Israel crisis, which will continue and there is no very clear horizon for it, because Israel will not stop its excesses and on the other hand, Palestine, led by Hamas, will not tolerate oppression and occupation. In Hosseini’s view, a war between Hamas and Israel may not take place for now, but the tension will continue as a crisis.
The political analyst continued: The second crisis is the Syrian crisis, which is unclear what will happen in the future. Will a stable and stable government be established in Syria or, like in Libya, a government in tension and challenge? If a stable government is established, which I consider unlikely, why is it because some Arab countries, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, and Qatar, do not want such a government in Syria because it is dangerous for their future. Although Qatar and Turkey may want a stable government, they still have their own interests. Hosseini pointed out that a stable government in Syria is dangerous for Qatar and Turkey, it would be almost like a version of the TTP for Pakistan. Just as the Pakistani Taliban has become a problem for Pakistan, an independent government in Syria would be a headache for Qatar, Turkey, and... and endanger the interests of these countries, and especially Syria is like the TTP for Pakistan for Turkey. According to Hosseini, the presence of the US, Kurds and Russia in the region, especially Russia, which is said to have ties to one of the commanders opposing Assad in Daraa and may support it in the future, makes it clear that a stable government will not be formed in Syria. In addition, Iraq, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and most Arab countries are opposed to such a government in Syria.
Hosseini emphasized that although Qatar and Turkey agree with peace in Syria, they also want a weak government that is subordinate to them. Most importantly, it seems that Syria is like Afghanistan for Turkey. Given the domination that the Ottomans had in the past, the Syrians have a bad attitude and opinion towards the Turks, and therefore the Syrian people do not agree with Turkish domination in their country.
On the other hand, according to Hosseini, Russia has ambitions in Syria. It still has a military base in this territory and has connections with some commanders opposing Assad, so the Syrian crisis will continue.
From Husseini's perspective, the third crisis in West Asia is Lebanon, which may arise again with the new government and new president taking office. There are some signs at the moment, of course, but it also depends on how the situation progresses. Does the Lebanese government intend to disarm Hezbollah or not and will it succeed in doing so? All of this is indicative of the crises in West Asia.
He continued by stating that the fourth crisis is the Kurdish crisis, which, given the current situation, European countries, the US and Israel agree with the presence of the Kurds in Syria, and the Arabs, especially Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are not reluctant to support the Kurds as a way of weakening Al-Qaeda in Syria, so the Kurds will have better conditions in Syria than during the Assad era.
On the other hand, it should be said that the Kurdish crisis exists given that Turkey is currently trying to weaken the Kurds and it depends on what conditions will occur in the future.
If the Kurds are defeated in Syria, it will help establish a stable government in Syria. Dr. Hosseini stated: I think there will be a war between the current Syrian regime and the Kurds, and Turkey will also enter the arena, but the Kurdish resistance depends on how much America and Israel will support them, and if they do not support them and the Kurds are defeated, it will actually help establish a stable government in Syria.
According to Hosseini, the fifth crisis in West Asia is the Yemeni crisis, which is a bone of contention for all Arab and Western countries, Israel, and even Turkey. However, it still depends on how the situation will develop, whether there will be another war in Yemen or not. Considering the current situation of Ansar Allah and the support that the Yemeni people have given to Ansar Allah, and also considering Ansar Allah's missile power, it seems that the Arab countries are no longer willing to continue the war, because war means the destruction of the Emirates and Saudi Arabia and the razing of their economic goals in the region, and this is what they do not want.
But according to him, on the contrary, Europe, the United States, Israel, and even Turkey strongly want to weaken and overthrow Ansarallah. Of course, this also depends on what conditions will occur in the future, whether there will be another war in Yemen or not? And what developments will occur in Iran? Will Iran succeed in lifting the sanctions or not? If it succeeds, it will have practically contained the crisis.
In his view, if Iran fails to lift sanctions, their opponents will certainly invest heavily in internal rebellions and unrest, and this will be another crisis in West Asia.
Hosseini also stated that in general, it can be said that stability in the future of West Asia does not have a clear perspective.
On the other hand, according to Hosseini, Turkey is also the sixth crisis in West Asia and is not in a good situation at the moment. From an economic perspective, it has high inflation and Turkey has become dangerous for America and Europe. Right now, Europe and America, Arab countries and Israel all feel threatened by Turkey, and even Russia and Iran feel threatened, because the victory that Turkey brought to Syria and the effort for a greater Turkey has hurt or scared everyone in some way, and this will definitely affect Turkey's future. Considering the internal situation in Turkey, the opposition of the Alawites, Kurds and supporters of Fethullah Gulen, who are supported by Western countries, will be one of the serious crises in the region.
The Israeli regime has lost its legal status in international forums. However, political analyst Dr. Abdul Ali Hassani said in an interview with Ava: The ceasefire that has taken place in Gaza is a good achievement for the oppressed people of Palestine and Gaza. After 15 months of suffering and hardships of war, at least an opportunity is created to get out of the miserable situation and, amidst a multitude of troubles, to cope with new conditions and leave the problems behind. According to him, very serious and irreparable damage was inflicted on the oppressed people of Palestine, especially the people of the Gaza Strip, from a psychological, financial and human perspective during this period. The people of Gaza suffered about 50,000 martyrs and 100,000 injured in nearly a year and a half, in addition to the increasing migration, and the Gaza Strip itself was turned into a ruin. According to Dr. Hosni, it is now necessary to focus on the Gaza Strip and, in accordance with the provisions and dimensions of the agreement that have been foreseen, prepare the ground for the reconstruction of Gaza and seek a suitable solution for the pain and suffering of the people of this land.
Although, according to Dr. Hosni, this ceasefire cannot compensate for all the pain and suffering of the Palestinian people that they have endured during the past 15 months, at least a few days of war, bombardment, and violence of the occupying regime will be saved and they will be provided with breathing space.
But in response to whether the Zionist regime has achieved its predetermined goals or not? It must be said that Israel did not achieve its goal, which was the complete destruction of Hamas, and this agreement that was made was also made with Hamas, and Israel's side is the same Islamic movements, Islamic Jihad, and Hamas, politically and militarily.
Hosni continued: Will this ceasefire agreement lead to permanent peace in West Asia or at least between the Israeli regime and Hamas? Nothing can be said for sure, because the Zionist regime has officially announced, and the United States has also supported it, that it can return to war after seven weeks.
According to this university professor, given the savage nature of the Zionist regime, it cannot be said that this ceasefire will be the end of the war and the war may flare up again at any moment, but the countries that played a role in this ceasefire should try to make this matter lead to lasting peace.
According to Dr. Hassani, from an international perspective, Israel's status has declined significantly, considering the crimes it has committed, its legal status has been completely weakened, and from a military perspective, it does not have the strength it currently had.
According to him, Israel currently only has air dominance, but in the field and ground war it has not been very successful so far and has often failed.
In his view, in the political arena, the vast majority of countries in the world have condemned the crimes and attacks of the Zionist regime, and the case of the leaders of the Zionist regime is still open in the Hague court, and an arrest warrant has been issued for Netanyahu. However, given the support that this regime receives from Western countries, it will have the capacity to once again exert its influence in international organizations and forums. However, in the eyes of the nations of the world, it will forever be the most hated regime. On the contrary, the Palestinian people always have and will always have the support of the nations of the world.
https://avapress.com/vdcf1tdm1w6dxxa.r7iw.html
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