Despite the disappointing hype and propaganda of many media outlets about the future of negotiations between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran, many political experts and analysts have assessed the process of these negotiations as promising and believe: "Both the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States have shown that they are willing to talk in the current circumstances. The Islamic Republic of Iran, by delegating full authority to Seyyed Abbas Araqchi, the country's Foreign Minister, and the United States, by sending Steve Whittaker, the US President's special representative, have actually sent signals of their political readiness."
Publish dateMonday 14 April 2025 - 14:33
Story Code : 312696
Experts' analysis of the future of Iran-US negotiations;
The difficult path to agreement; An analytical look at the political will of both sides in the Oman negotiations
Afghan Voice Agency (AVA) - Kabul: Ahmad Saeedi, a political analyst, stated in an interview with AVA: "The recent negotiations between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America in Muscat, Oman, are considered one of the most important steps in recent years, given the political atmosphere and regional developments. Although the two sides spoke of "positive progress" after the end of the negotiations, we must wait and see for a more accurate assessment whether these negotiations will lead to a tangible result."
What are the reasons for hope for future negotiations?
Mr. Saeedi considered the existence of political will on both sides to be one of the main reasons for hope for the success of the negotiations and stated: "Both the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America have shown that they are willing to talk in the current circumstances. The Islamic Republic of Iran has sent signals of its political readiness by delegating full authority to its Foreign Minister, Seyyed Abbas Araqchi, and the United States has also sent signals of its political readiness by sending Steve Whittaker, the US President’s special representative.
The political expert considered domestic and foreign pressures as other reasons for hope that the negotiations would be fruitful, adding: “The Islamic Republic of Iran needs openings in the international arena due to difficult economic conditions and pressures resulting from sanctions. On the other hand, the United States, with its challenges in the Middle East and competition with China and Russia, is seeking to create greater stability in the region. These factors can pave the way for a more positive trend in future negotiations.”
He also considered Oman’s impartial and honest mediation role as another factor of hope for the future of the negotiations, stating: “Oman has repeatedly shown that it has the ability to play the role of an impartial mediator. This role has made the two sides return to the negotiating table with greater ease.”
Main Obstacles and Reasons for Pessimism
Main Obstacles and Reasons for Pessimism
Ahmad Saeedi identified the deep distrust between the two sides as one of the main obstacles to the success of the negotiations, saying: “The long history of hostility, the assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, the withdrawal of the United States from the JCPOA, and the continuation of sanctions have greatly increased the level of distrust.”
On the other hand, he believes: “Donald Trump’s maximalist demands could challenge the negotiations process, because the United States wants to destroy the missile program and reduce the regional influence of the Islamic Republic of Iran, while Iran emphasizes maintaining its defense capabilities. These demands cannot be easily reconciled.”
According to this political analyst, pressure from some domestic groups in both countries could also be an obstacle to reaching an agreement. He added in this regard: “There are currents in both countries that are dissatisfied with any agreement.”
Mr. Saeedi continued: “Although these negotiations are a positive step, there is a long and complicated path ahead to reach a final agreement. If the main sanctions are not lifted and if the parties are not willing to compromise, the possibility of failure of the negotiations remains high. However, if the talks continue, there is a possibility of reaching a temporary or step-by-step agreement.”
He concluded by emphasizing once again: “The negotiations may come to fruition, but only if both sides sacrifice some of their demands and consider greater interests such as regional stability and reducing political and economic pressures.”
The firm will of both sides can bring the negotiations to a desired conclusion
Dr. Abdul Ali Hassani, an expert in international relations, also stated in an interview with AVA News Agency: “What can bring the negotiations to a desired conclusion is the will of both sides to reach an agreement; An issue that seems to have been somewhat evident in the first session of the Iran-US talks.”
According to Mr. Hassani: “Although Donald Trump has an unpredictable personality, he has repeatedly stated that he is willing to reach an agreement with Iran.”
On the other hand, according to him: “Iran has also announced its readiness to resolve issues through negotiations. This is a positive sign in reducing tensions between Iran and the US and a step towards establishing stability in the region.”
Mr. Hassani also stated: “The countries of the region also want these talks to come to a conclusion and not lead to a military conflict, because in the event of a war, not only the region but also the entire world will be affected by its consequences.”
This international relations expert acknowledged: “Achieving an agreement between the two countries is possible, although given the tense history of relations between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran, it is not possible to comment with certainty in this regard.”
According to him: “The West Asian region is a strategic and sensitive region that can no longer tolerate another devastating war. Countries are well aware that if the Iran-US negotiations fail, the next option may be a military conflict; a conflict whose destructive consequences will face the entire region and even the world with a crisis. For this reason, many countries in the region and the world want these negotiations to succeed.”
In conclusion, Hassani expressed hope that the negotiations between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will continue and end with a favorable outcome, because otherwise, the region will face dire consequences.
The first round of talks between the Iranian and American negotiating teams was held on Saturday, 23rd of this week, in Muscat, the capital of Oman. After the end of these talks, which lasted for two and a half hours, Seyyed Abbas Araghchi, the Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic of Iran, described the atmosphere of the talks as “positive and respectful.” Following that, the White House issued a statement, evaluating the talks as "constructive and promising" and announcing that negotiations would continue in the near future.
avapress.com/vdcgyx9w3ak9q34.5jra.html
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