International relations experts have described the attacks on Kabul and a number of provinces last Thursday night as a clear aggression and violation of Afghanistan's national sovereignty, and say that the continuation of these attacks by Pakistan will have dangerous political and economic consequences. According to them, from a political perspective, just as relations between the two countries have been accompanied by many ups and downs in the last four years, there is a possibility of further deterioration of these relations in the future.
Publish dateSaturday 11 October 2025 - 15:38
Story Code : 331328
Afghan Voice Agency (AVA) – Kabul: Dr. Mohammad Baqir Saeer, a political analyst, stated in an interview with AVA: "Challenges, differences and conflicts have existed between Afghanistan and Pakistan since the establishment of Pakistan in 1947, and sometimes they have reached the point of a full-scale war; but so far, Afghanistan has not witnessed a direct attack by Pakistan on its capital. This event, as the Afghan Minister of Defense said, is unprecedented. Although there have been border clashes between the two countries in the past, they stopped after talks.”
According to Mr. Saeer, “Since the establishment of Pakistan, a historical competitive mentality has been formed between the two countries. Pakistanis expected Afghanistan to be the first neighboring Islamic country to recognize Pakistan’s independence, but this did not happen and on the contrary, the process of recognizing Pakistan by Afghanistan took place later than other countries. Therefore, tensions continued and efforts have not yet led to lasting peace and stability.”
This political analyst considered Pakistan’s recent attacks on the capital and a number of Afghan provinces to be blatant aggression from the perspective of international law and regulations, and said:
“Pakistan’s attacks on Afghan soil are not only a violation of the principles governing between states, but also a blatant violation of the country’s national sovereignty and are completely unacceptable from a legal perspective.”
He added that there is a possibility of such attacks being repeated in the future, as Islamabad suspects that members of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and other terrorist groups are operating on Afghan soil; therefore, the possibility of continued aggression cannot be ruled out.
Consequences of Pakistan’s Continued Attacks on Afghanistan
According to Mr. Saeer, “The continuation of these attacks has clear political and economic consequences. From a political point of view, relations between the two countries, which have been tense in recent years, will become even more strained than before.”
He also referred to the new relations between Kabul and New Delhi and said: “The beginning of a new chapter in relations between Afghanistan and India will have major impacts on relations between Kabul and Islamabad.”
Regarding the economic consequences, Saeer also said: “The level of trade between Afghanistan and Pakistan is extensive, and due to the common border, Afghanistan is at least two-thirds an importer and one-third an exporter to this country. Although the trade balance is in Pakistan’s favor, both countries need each other’s goods, and any political or security tension can cause serious damage to trade relations.”
According to him, “the first negative effects of these tensions are visible on the economy and trade sector, which can increase the inflation rate and raise the prices of some goods; an experience that has also existed in the relations between the two countries in the past.”
Necessary measures against Pakistan’s aggression against Afghanistan
Dr. Saeer continued: “Since the fall of Dr. Najibullah’s government, with the weakening of military structures, the country’s army has disintegrated and Afghanistan’s deterrence capability has been severely reduced. For this reason, Pakistan can enter and bomb Afghanistan’s airspace without hindrance whenever it wants. However, it should know that the courage and sacrifice of the Afghan people have not disappeared and this nation has defeated the great powers of the world with its bare hands in the past. Pakistan should be aware of the history of this nation.”
He added: “In the current situation, the necessary tools to prevent Pakistan’s aggression are practically unavailable, because in the international system, power controls power, and Afghanistan is not yet at that level of military capability. On the other hand, due to the lack of an official and globally recognized government, the current government cannot officially file a complaint with the United Nations or the Security Council. Therefore, the only option available is the unity of the people to defend the territorial integrity of the country.”
Following the airstrikes by Pakistani fighter jets on Afghan soil on Thursday night last week, local sources reported heavy explosions in the Barmal district of Paktika province. The attacks took place around midnight in the Morghi Bazaar area, during which several residential houses and shops were targeted, causing heavy financial losses.
At the same time, several other airstrikes were also reported in Kabul city, which were said to have been aimed at assassinating members and leaders of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).
The Ministry of Defense of the Islamic Emirate has issued a statement confirming and strongly condemning Pakistan's airstrikes on Afghan soil, calling them a violation of the country's airspace and national sovereignty. The ministry said that such attacks are unprecedented in the history of relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
According to Mr. Saeer, “Since the establishment of Pakistan, a historical competitive mentality has been formed between the two countries. Pakistanis expected Afghanistan to be the first neighboring Islamic country to recognize Pakistan’s independence, but this did not happen and on the contrary, the process of recognizing Pakistan by Afghanistan took place later than other countries. Therefore, tensions continued and efforts have not yet led to lasting peace and stability.”
This political analyst considered Pakistan’s recent attacks on the capital and a number of Afghan provinces to be blatant aggression from the perspective of international law and regulations, and said:
“Pakistan’s attacks on Afghan soil are not only a violation of the principles governing between states, but also a blatant violation of the country’s national sovereignty and are completely unacceptable from a legal perspective.”
He added that there is a possibility of such attacks being repeated in the future, as Islamabad suspects that members of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and other terrorist groups are operating on Afghan soil; therefore, the possibility of continued aggression cannot be ruled out.
Consequences of Pakistan’s Continued Attacks on Afghanistan
According to Mr. Saeer, “The continuation of these attacks has clear political and economic consequences. From a political point of view, relations between the two countries, which have been tense in recent years, will become even more strained than before.”
He also referred to the new relations between Kabul and New Delhi and said: “The beginning of a new chapter in relations between Afghanistan and India will have major impacts on relations between Kabul and Islamabad.”
Regarding the economic consequences, Saeer also said: “The level of trade between Afghanistan and Pakistan is extensive, and due to the common border, Afghanistan is at least two-thirds an importer and one-third an exporter to this country. Although the trade balance is in Pakistan’s favor, both countries need each other’s goods, and any political or security tension can cause serious damage to trade relations.”
According to him, “the first negative effects of these tensions are visible on the economy and trade sector, which can increase the inflation rate and raise the prices of some goods; an experience that has also existed in the relations between the two countries in the past.”
Necessary measures against Pakistan’s aggression against Afghanistan
Dr. Saeer continued: “Since the fall of Dr. Najibullah’s government, with the weakening of military structures, the country’s army has disintegrated and Afghanistan’s deterrence capability has been severely reduced. For this reason, Pakistan can enter and bomb Afghanistan’s airspace without hindrance whenever it wants. However, it should know that the courage and sacrifice of the Afghan people have not disappeared and this nation has defeated the great powers of the world with its bare hands in the past. Pakistan should be aware of the history of this nation.”
He added: “In the current situation, the necessary tools to prevent Pakistan’s aggression are practically unavailable, because in the international system, power controls power, and Afghanistan is not yet at that level of military capability. On the other hand, due to the lack of an official and globally recognized government, the current government cannot officially file a complaint with the United Nations or the Security Council. Therefore, the only option available is the unity of the people to defend the territorial integrity of the country.”
Following the airstrikes by Pakistani fighter jets on Afghan soil on Thursday night last week, local sources reported heavy explosions in the Barmal district of Paktika province. The attacks took place around midnight in the Morghi Bazaar area, during which several residential houses and shops were targeted, causing heavy financial losses.
At the same time, several other airstrikes were also reported in Kabul city, which were said to have been aimed at assassinating members and leaders of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).
The Ministry of Defense of the Islamic Emirate has issued a statement confirming and strongly condemning Pakistan's airstrikes on Afghan soil, calling them a violation of the country's airspace and national sovereignty. The ministry said that such attacks are unprecedented in the history of relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
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