Publish dateSunday 8 December 2024 - 14:24
Story Code : 302149
Transition from Bashar al-Assad; Ambiguous Prospects for Stability and Security in Syria
With the entry of armed opposition forces into Damascus and the transfer of power in Syria, the first question facing the people of this country and the international community is what the future of the Levant region will be and what will be its impact on the complex developments in West Asia?
The final statement of the foreign ministers of the five Arab countries and the Astana process, which was issued at the end of the meeting last night (Saturday, December 7) in Doha, and during which they emphasized the need to stop military operations in Syria in order to prepare for the start of a comprehensive political process, convinced all observers of the developments in Syria that the continuation of Bashar al-Assad's rule is not possible.
The entry of armed forces into Damascus and Homs without clashes and the announcement of surrender by the Syrian Prime Minister and the announcement of readiness for the transfer of power have removed any doubts about the possibility of the Syrian government continuing to confront the armed rebels.

Although Mohammad al-Julani, the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, announced that the Syrian Prime Minister would manage various institutions until the official transfer of power, for various reasons, it is too simplistic to accept that such a move would prevent the development of insecurity in Syria.
The armed groups that succeeded in ending the continuation of Bashar al-Assad’s government are very scattered, undisciplined, and incoherent, even assuming that they received orders from a single command.
These groups all agree that they do not want Bashar al-Assad’s government to continue, but their answers to the question of what the future Syrian government should be like are very different.
The lack of a single leadership, different political and religious ideologies, numerous foreign connections, and the possession of significant weapons, forces, and resources have turned each of the current field actors in Syria into an influential and demanding pole, making it very difficult, complicated, and unbelievable for them all to be included in a common process.
The first result of the formation of such a trend in Syria is the development of instability and insecurity; an event that is not only not desirable for any of the countries in the region, especially Syria's neighbors, but is also very threatening and unpleasant.
Due to its specific geopolitical location, Syria is considered the key to stability and security in the West Asian region. Certainly, any insecurity and instability in this country will first spread to its neighbors and then to the West Asian region.
This event could create a worrying outlook for the future of the region and pave the way for unpredictable developments in the tense geography of West Asia.
Therefore, in the current situation, the main concern facing the countries of the region is the increase in insecurity and instability in Syria and the consequences that this trend could have on the political, security and economic conditions of other countries.
Regardless of the nature and affiliation of the armed groups that are now seemingly victorious in the battle against the Assad regime, in the current situation, the countries of the region, while understanding the upcoming sensitivities and distancing themselves from fleeting interests, should use their collective efforts to prevent the development of instability and insecurity in Syria. In this regard, it is necessary for the main players in the region to seek, through joint cooperation, to create mechanisms that, while creating security and stability in Syria, will enable the realization of the will and aspirations of the people of this country in shaping the future political system in Syria.
https://avapress.com/vdci5rap3t1auz2.ilct.html
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