Afghan Voice Agency (AVA) - Herat: Abdul Quddus Khatibi, a political expert in Herat, says "Pakistan's attacks are politically and internationally unacceptable. No country can violate another country's territory under the pretext of pursuing its opponents."
According to Khatibi, these attacks have also "tarnished Pakistan's image globally" and will incur significant diplomatic costs for that country.
Heavy economic cost of war for the two countries
Meanwhile, experts warn that the escalation of the conflict between Kabul and Islamabad could worsen the economic crisis in both countries.
Afghanistan imports a large part of its basic goods and raw materials through Pakistan, and in return, Pakistan benefits from the transit of goods through Afghanistan to Central Asia.
Khatibi says: “There are no winners in a war between the two countries. Afghanistan is dependent on the Pakistani route for trade and imports, and Pakistan also needs the Afghan route to transport its goods to Central Asia. If the tension continues, the borders will be closed, trade will be paralyzed, and the cost of the war will impose a heavy economic burden on both nations.”
In recent years, Pakistan has repeatedly accused Afghanistan of allowing the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) to operate from its soil. The Islamic Emirate has always rejected these accusations, calling them “political and baseless.”
According to analysts, by repeating these accusations, Islamabad is trying to increase political pressure on Kabul while at the same time justifying its security failures.
“Pakistan is trying to divert public opinion from its internal crises by raising the TTP issue again,” says Dr. Salim Noori, an international relations analyst in Kabul. “But with each airstrike, it loses its international legitimacy and Afghanistan is in a politically superior position.”
The role of regional countries and the possibility of Western intervention
Amidst these tensions, the three countries of Iran, Qatar and Saudi Arabia have begun efforts to reduce the crisis and mediate.
Tehran, Doha and Riyadh have called on both sides in separate statements to replace military conflict with dialogue and diplomacy. But on a broader level, experts warn of indirect intervention by Western powers.
Khatibi says in this regard: “Western countries, especially the US and Britain, may use this tension for their neo-colonial purposes. Every crisis in the region is an opportunity for greater Western influence, whether through political pressure or information games.”
An uncertain future in the shadow of war and diplomacy
With the closure of the Torkham and Spin Boldak crossings, hundreds of commercial trucks and thousands of passengers on both sides of the border have been halted. The trade standoff is costing the economies of both countries millions of dollars every hour.
Experts warn that if the talks between Kabul and Islamabad fail, the border conflict could escalate into a wider war one with neither political gains nor economic victories.
All eyes are now on the regional capitals, where diplomacy is trying to open a window of dialogue and peace between the two countries mired in distrust before the borders become a line of fire once again.