Publish dateThursday 10 April 2025 - 10:39
Story Code : 312254
Escalating Tensions Between the United States and Iran and Possible Consequences for Afghanistan
Seyed Hamed Amini/ Political and military tensions between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran have reached a new peak in the past week or two. Upon his return to power, US President Donald Trump has revived the policy of maximum pressure on Iran and has warned in his latest statements that if Iran does not accept the new terms of the negotiations and these negotiations do not reach a conclusion, the option of a military attack is on the table. Trump has even announced that in this attack, the Zionist regime, the bloodthirsty enemy of Palestine, Iran and all Islamic countries, will play a “leadership” role. In this regard, the United States has deployed B-2 strategic bombers to the Diego Garcia military base, which, according to its Minister of Defense, is considered a direct message to Tehran.
In such circumstances, the possibility of a military conflict overshadows not only Iran but also the entire West Asian region, especially Afghanistan, which shares a common border with Iran and has many economic and humanitarian dependencies. This report examines the various dimensions of this crisis and its effects on Afghanistan.

1- The role and interventions of the United States in Iran’s internal affairs before and after the Islamic Revolution
The United States has been involved in Iran’s internal affairs for decades. From the coup of 1953 against the government of Dr. Mossadegh, which was carried out with direct support from the CIA, to supporting the Pahlavi regime and suppressing the opposition, the role of the United States has always been to impose its influence in Iran. After the Islamic Revolution of 1979, the United States has repeatedly intervened in Iranian affairs with economic sanctions, cyber attacks, assassination of nuclear scientists, and support for opposition groups.

2- Analysis of the current situation and condemnation of the arrogant policies of the United States in Islamic countries
The foreign policies of the United States in the Islamic world have generally met with negative reactions. The military presence, unilateral sanctions, support for repressive regimes and the Zionist regime, and direct attacks on Islamic countries have painted a domineering image of the United States. Trump's policies against Iran, Yemen, Palestine, and even Afghanistan are clear examples of Washington's unbalanced performance in the region.

3- US-Zionist relations and coordinated pressure against Iran
After the victory of the Islamic Revolution in Iran, US-Zionist relations were increasingly strengthened as a strategic alliance to confront the Islamic Republic of Iran. The US, especially during the presidency of Donald Trump, intensified economic and political pressure on Iran and imposed extensive sanctions against the country. The Zionist regime was also active as the US intelligence and military arm in the region, especially in the field of cyber attacks, assassination of nuclear scientists, and support for anti-Iranian terrorist groups.

This cooperation is clearly visible in regional security projects against Iran, including nuclear, military, and intelligence programs. In addition, the repeated attacks by the Zionist regime on Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria, aimed at weakening the axis of resistance and limiting Iranian support in these regions, are part of a coordinated strategy between the two countries.
After Operation Al-Aqsa Storm in the past two years, in which Palestinian groups led by Hamas were able to deal a blow to the Zionist regime, the situation in the region became more complicated. Meanwhile, the United States has openly supported the criminal actions of the Zionist regime, and this cooperation, especially in the field of extensive financial and weapons support for the Zionist regime, has made it an accomplice and even the main perpetrator of the current crimes in Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, Syria, and also the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Although these pressures may achieve some of the West’s goals in the short term, they could have widespread negative consequences for the stability of the region, especially in Afghanistan. Disruption of Iran’s security, especially if the war and conflicts escalate, will lead to further instability in the region, an increase in migration waves, and the expansion of terrorist group activities, which will cause serious damage to the security and economy of the region, including Afghanistan.

4- The effects of America’s interventionist and belligerent presence in the region on Afghanistan
During 20 years of occupation by the United States, Afghanistan was a scene of massive casualties, the growth of terrorism, the destruction of infrastructure, and the weakening of political independence. The United States’ military presence not only did not bring peace, but also caused the spread of violence, corruption, and widespread migration of citizens. Even now, the tension between Iran and the United States could once again embroil Afghanistan in regional instability, especially if the United States uses Afghan territory or local forces become involved in a wave of refugees or extremists.

5- Negative effects of the US presence in other countries (such as Iraq and Libya)
The examples of Iraq and Libya show that US military intervention, although it may be carried out under the slogan of "democratization", has in practice led to the collapse of order, the growth of extremist groups, the destruction of economic infrastructure and increased insecurity. The current situation in these two countries indicates the failure of US military strategies and unilateral interventions in the region. These experiences are also a warning for Iran's neighboring countries, including Afghanistan.

6- The importance of Iran's security in the development and economic growth of the region, especially Afghanistan
Iran is a strategic neighbor for Afghanistan. This country is considered a key transit route for goods, energy and Afghan labor. In 1403, the volume of trade between Iran and Afghanistan reached more than 3.3 billion dollars, which was a significant increase compared to the previous year. On the other hand, Afghanistan has also more than doubled its exports to Iran.
The breakdown of security in Iran has led to the blockage of trade routes, The cost of imports will increase, and pressure will be placed on the people and economy of Afghanistan. Also, a new wave of migration, a security crisis at the borders, and the formation of an atmosphere of social instability are other possible consequences.

Conclusion
The possibility of a war between the United States and Iran in 2025 is a serious threat to regional stability. Afghanistan is more at risk than others from this tension due to its geographical proximity, economic ties, and historical experience of high vulnerability.
The experiences of Iraq, Libya, and Afghanistan itself under American occupation show that war only leads to instability, poverty, and social collapse. In the meantime, the security and stability of Iran are vital and necessary not only for the people of that country, but also for the entire region, especially Afghanistan. Therefore, maintaining peace, avoiding escalating tensions, and supporting diplomatic solutions should be the priority of regional policymakers.
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