Tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan; American internal roots and conspiracy

This situation can change the balance of power in such a way that Afghanistan is not only an ally, but also an independent variable that opposes Pakistan's regional policies. It is as if many women and children have been targeted in Pakistani airstrikes on various parts of Afghanistan as tensions and military conflicts continue. Experts consider Pakistani airstrikes to be one of the oldest methods of Islamabad; The way this country always blames its neighbor for internal failures. Any attack on innocent civilians is condemned from the perspective of the awakened conscience, and strong popular protests against the Pakistani army's attacks from inside and outside the country have been repeatedly stated. Even the people of Afghanistan have witnessed that while the representative of the Pakistani government was talking to the officials of the Islamic Emirate, attacks were carried out by Pakistani forces inside Afghanistan. It is clear that the people of Afghanistan's Mujahideen do not accept encroachment on their territory under any circumstances and are ready to defend their homeland. Certainly, such actions will have bitter consequences for Pakistan and could lead to the formation of new fronts of resistance along the eastern borders. The role of foreign provocation, especially the United States, and hostile approaches in weakening Afghanistan and Pakistan at the same time is an important point that should not be overlooked. Overt and covert foreign interference and US strategies play a serious role in escalating tensions. Direct intervention to remote management, especially after the US military withdrawal from Afghanistan, should not be ignored in creating and continuing tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Although the initial impression was a significant reduction in Washington's role in the developments in Afghanistan, the fact is that the pattern of US presence has changed from direct intervention to indirect management. This type of presence is based more on tools such as diplomatic pressure, sanctions, international aid management, and interaction with regional actors. There is no doubt that the United States is using controlled tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan as a tool to maintain leverage in the region, without incurring the heavy costs of military presence. The United States benefits from instability in relations between Kabul and Islamabad, because Pakistan, as a former US ally, has always had an independent and sometimes conflicting policy with Washington, and its weakening could reduce its maneuverability. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan is also in a critical position due to lack of official recognition, and external pressures can keep the country in a state of isolation. However, it should not be forgotten that, from an official point of view, the United States has always emphasized regional stability and the fight against terrorism, but in indirect role-playing uses economic and financial leverage, controlling or directing international aid to Afghanistan, which can influence political behavior in Kabul. Diplomatic pressure on Pakistan in areas such as the fight against terrorism or relations with China can also change Islamabad's security priorities and outline the prospect of weakening Pakistan. In order to achieve such unbelievable goals, the management of narratives and discourses, the formation of the media and international space on security threats in the region, will be one of the most obvious consequences of surrendering to such plans. Other consequences of this approach for the region include the continuation and increase of mistrust between Kabul and Islamabad, and the increase in the excessive dependence of both countries on regional actors such as China or Russia. Undoubtedly, the trap of Pakistan in the trap of US conspiracies will intensify proxy rivalry in the region and reduce the formation of a native and sustainable security order. Internal factors of tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan should not be ignored. The fact is that tensions between the two countries have deep domestic and indigenous roots; Border disputes (especially the Durand Line issue), identity and security are among the most important internal factors, but the Americans are intensifying, managing or directing these tensions through Pakistan. Therefore, the role of the United States in Kabul-Islamabad relations should be considered in the form of a multi-layered strategy; Neither direct and decisive presence as in the past nor complete absence. The future of the region depends more than anything on the internal decisions of the two countries and their ability to reduce dependence on external actors.